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Severe Weather Potential For Tuesday Night

By Meteorologist Tom Meiners
By tmeiners@wbbjtv.com

West Tennesseans could be looking at an active weather pattern late Tuesday evening into early Wednesday morning, as we get ready to close out what has been a “roller coaster” month on the thermometer.

Here's what you need to know and what to expect. Yesterday morning, a warm front passed through West Tennessee resulting in temperatures almost 30º above normal. Today, highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 70s which could possibly result in some recording breaking heat for the area. Some of the fuel for the severe weather is coming from the mixture of the presently warm air and the cold air mass associated with the oncoming cold front.

Currently, there is a moderate risk for severe weather across the far southwest area of West Tennessee including the Memphis metro area. The rest of West Tennessee has a slight risk for severe weather even into Middle Tennessee. The main threat in the moderate risk area will be damaging winds and tornadoes. The threat in the slight risk area will mainly be damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

All of the factors leading up to Tuesday night, based on the latest computer model runs, point to seeing a potential for severe weather in the form of damaging winds and possibly even isolated tornadoes for the Mid-south. This all rises from the fact that a very strong cold front is going to be making its way from the Great Plains Tuesday afternoon before finally arriving in the Mid-south later Tuesday evening. As it arrives, expect to see a line of heavy thunderstorms on our Doppler radar when the front approaches the Mid-Mississippi River Valley. Concerning when we can expect to see this line of storms in West Tennessee, the forecast is gearing towards severe weather arriving between the late night hours of Tuesday and very early Wednesday morning.

In the event of a tornado here's what you should do. The safest place to be during a tornado is in a storm shelter. If no shelter is available, seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to cover your body and always stay away from windows. If in mobile homes or vehicles, evacuate them and get inside a substantial shelter. If no shelter is available, lie flat in the nearest ditch or low spot and cover your head with your hands.
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