Rain Chances Return, Frost/Freeze Coming Early Next Week

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update

October 26, 2023

Joel Barnes,

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:

It was another warm and breezy day here in West Tennessee. We could see a sprinkle or two tonight but rain chances return for most of us on Friday and Saturday, but I wouldn’t expect much. Rain does through look likely Sunday night into Monday as a strong front will pass. The first frost is coming and a freeze is also looking likely. We will have more on the timing of the rain where you live and find out if you will falling down into the 20s next week, all coming up right here.

TONIGHT:

We will pick up a sprinkle chance Thursday night but most of us will not see much until Friday. Chances will be best near the Mississippi River as a stalled out boundary sits in Arkansas. Rain chances only sit at 10% tonight. Highs on Thursday made it up to the low 80s again falling short of the record fo 87°. Thursday was a partly cloudy day and the winds were a bit breezy out of the south. Thursday night lows will fall down to the upper 60s due to the higher dew point Thursday night.

FRIDAY:

Friday will bring our best shot for rain during the work week but chances are only around 30-40%. The system that was stalled out just to our west most of the week will finally drift though on Friday. A few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out but we are not expecting big storms if we see much for any thunder at all. We are forecast to see partly to mostly cloudy skies during the day. Highs on Friday will top out in the low 80s. Friday night lows will only dip down to the mid 60s making for a warm start to the weekend.

THE WEEKEND:

We will see some isolated shower activity on Saturday, but we are not expecting much and the shower should clear out late Saturday and stay dry on Sunday until late Sunday night. It will again be a warm weekend with the highs reaching the low 80s on Saturday and upper 70s on Sunday. We will see a few more clouds on Saturday than Sunday but in general, expect a partly cloudy weekend. The winds will come out of the south or southwest all weekend long as well helping to keep the temperatures up. Weekend morning lows will stay in the mid 60s. The winds will look to chance back to the north on Monday as a powerful cold front will pass by.

EARLY NEXT WEEK:

A much more significant system is on the way early next week that will look to impact your plans for Halloween. Rain is coming early Monday but will look to clear out in time for trick-or-treating on Tuesday. It might be a good idea to do some Halloween stuff with the kids this weekend just in case the weather is NOT as great on Halloween night next Tuesday as it appears like it is going to be a cold night for Trick-or-Treating.

We will be looking at much cooler weather behind the front next week and our first frost of the season is looking highly likely next week. There will also be a good shot at our first freeze Halloween night into Wednesday morning where some upper 20s cannot be ruled out as of now. The winds will come out of the north early in the week and we should see plenty of sunshine during the middle of the week but it is going to be a very cold week in general.

NEXT WEEK:

Mostly sunny skies will return during the middle of next week but temperatures are forecast to stay well below normal as well. Highs next week will only reach the 50s and morning lows will hang around the freezing mark each morning. The winds will finally transition back to the south next Thursday and that will start a slight warming trend back to the Mid South. Rain chances look pretty slim from late Monday through Thursday next week.

West Tennessee really needs the rain as we have been extremely dry the last 8 weeks. Jackson has only recorded 1/10″ of the rain we usually get in October and are now over 3.0″ below on the yearly average! Over the last 8 weeks, Jackson has only seen 1.32″ of rain when we average close to 7.5″ on a normal year during those 8 weeks.

FINAL THOUGHT:

We have been dry most of the week in West Tennessee but will pick up a decent shot from Thursday night through Saturday for some light rain. A cold front will come crashing through again early next week and looks to bring some rain showers with it and potentially a few weak storms. Above average weather will also stuck around for the entire weed but cooler weather is coming. There looks to be a decent shot for some frost or even the first freeze early next week. The tropics look to be relatively quiet but we are not quite done yet with hurricane season as we are watching a potential storm in the southern Gulf of Mexico. We got you covered in the WBBJ 7 Storm Team Weather Center as always.