Cold Front to Bring Light Rain Friday, Heavy Rain Early Next Week

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update

November 16, 2023

Joel Barnes,

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:

Not one week in the last 11 weeks, has Jackson seen average or above average rain amounts for that given week. This week is going make it 12 weeks in a row. Since the end of August, the Hub City has only recorded around 2.5″ of rain and we average over 9″ during that time frame in a typical year. This has lead to extreme drought conditions across the region. This lack of rainfall is starting to cause fire concerns.

Clouds will move in tonight as a cold front will begin to approach the Mid South. Some light rain showers will accompany the front but we are not expecting storms or heavy rain showers on Friday. Cooler weather will move in for the weekend behind the front. A much better chance for heavy rain is on the way for Monday/Tuesday and we will have all the latest details coming up right here.

TONIGHT:

Thursday was a bit more humid than earlier in the week due to the southerly winds. This will keep our overnight temperatures above normal tonight. The sunny start to the day allowed temperatures to reach the low to mid 70s ushering in the warmest weather of the week. Shower chances look to start late overnight into Friday morning. Thursday night lows will be warm and fall down to the mid to upper 50s from the cloud cover and the slight increase in the humidity overnight.

FRIDAY:

Some light showers are expected to try to move on in as a weak front is going to pass by into the afternoon on Friday. That will also bring a shot for a few showers during the day and chances will clear out around sunset. We are not expecting severe weather or any storms from the front as of now. Friday will be our best shot for rain this week but it would be surprising if anyone saw more than 1/4″ from the weak front. Chances for rain sit at 60% as of now. Friday highs are forecast to reach the mid to upper 60s and Friday night lows will fall back down to the upper 30s behind the cold front.

THE WEEKEND:

We are expecting a cooler, rain free and mostly sunny weekend for the most part across West Tennessee. The winds will come out of the north on Saturday behind the front and will look to shift to the east as we get going into the day on Sunday. Highs on Saturday will reach the upper 50s and we should warm back to the low to mid 60s on Sunday. Saturday night will be cool with Sunday morning looks to start out in the mid to lower 30s.

We will likely stay above freezing though this weekend but it will be close on Sunday morning. Rain chances will try to return Sunday night and could get heavy at times into the day on Monday. Early next week the winds will shift back to the southeast allowing us to warm back up near normal by Monday.

NEXT WEEK:

We have some really good news it looks like to kick off next week. The most rain we have seen in over 3 months looks to be on the way from Sunday night, all day Monday and into Tuesday afternoon across West Tennessee. All long term forecast models are showing at least an inch of rain coming in for most of us with some locations seeing over 2″ during a 36 hour period as a low pressure system will slowly move across the region. Highs next week will be cool in the 50s and behind the front, we will see temperatures dip back down near freezing on Wednesday morning and likely below freezing for Thursday morning. The winds will vary in direction early in the week around the low pressure system. This system could bring some storm activity but we are expecting the severe weather to stay south of West Tennessee at this time.

FINAL THOUGHT:

The first frost and freeze came early in November and we had record highs the following week. Seasonable weather looks to return for this week across West Tennessee. There are a few chances for rain this week but overall things are looking bleak in the rain department until early next week when a drought busting type system looks to be on the way. We really need the rain badly as drought conditions are becoming extreme across most of West Tennessee.