Cooler & Dry Weekend Behind the Front, Heavy Rain Coming Next Week

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update

November 17, 2023

Joel Barnes,

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:

An approaching front brought some showers back to West Tennessee this morning, but as the front passed by this evening, it didn’t pack much of a punch. Most of West Tennessee picked up between 1/10″-1/4″ of rain this morning. Cooler and drier air will move in overnight behind the front and lows will dip to around 40° to kick off our weekend. We should see plenty of sunshine this weekend but clouds will move back in late Sunday and the rain showers will follow. The next system will show up early next week and bring our first shot for strong storms back to the Mid South in a few months. Catch the latest details

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TONIGHT:

Most of us picked up some decent rain Friday morning across the region. Some light showers will continue Friday evening as the front will pass by. We are not expecting severe weather or any storms from the front. Friday highs reached the mid to upper 60s and Friday night lows will fall back down to the upper 30s or low 40s behind the cold front. The winds will come out of the northwest tonight behind the front.

THE WEEKEND:

We are expecting a cooler, rain free and mostly sunny weekend for the most part across West Tennessee. The winds will come out of the north on Saturday behind the front and will look to shift to the east as we get going into the day on Sunday. Highs on Saturday will reach the upper 50s and we should warm back to the low to mid 60s on Sunday. Saturday night will be cool with Sunday morning looks to start out in the low 30s near freezing.

We will likely stay above freezing though this weekend but it will be close on Sunday morning. Rain chances will try to return Sunday night and could get heavy at times into the day on Monday. Early next week the winds will shift back to the southeast allowing us to warm back up near normal by Monday.

NEXT WEEK:

We have some really good news it looks like to kick off next week. The most rain we have seen in over 3 months looks to be on the way from Sunday night, all day Monday and into Tuesday afternoon across West Tennessee. Most long term forecast models are showing at least an inch of rain coming in for most of us with some locations seeing over 2″ during a 36 hour period as a low pressure system will slowly move across the region. Highs next week will be cool in the 50s and behind the front, we will see temperatures dip back down near freezing on Wednesday morning and possibly below freezing for Thursday morning. The winds will vary in direction early in the week around the low pressure system. This system could bring some storm activity but we are expecting the severe weather to stay south of West Tennessee at this time but it is something we will be keeping a close eye on this weekend.

FINAL THOUGHT:

The first frost and freeze came early in November and we had record highs the following week. Seasonable weather looks to return for this week across West Tennessee. Heavy rain showers and maybe a few storms will return early next week with everyone in the region picking up some beneficial rain showers. We really need the rain badly as drought conditions are becoming extreme across most of West Tennessee.