Rain Moves Out Late Tonight And A Return To Winter Cold

Saturday Update

December 16, 2023

Brian Davis,

Weather Update Wednesday, December 16th, 2023 9:54 AM.

An upper level low is moving through just to our north over the weekend and bringing a few showers along a cold front. Unlike last Weekend, We are dealing with cooler temperatures and dynamics are much weaker throughout the area to cause any severe weather. The front should pass through the area this evening with some scattered showers returning before moving out in the overnight. Skies will slowly return to a partly sunny sky tomorrow for a much drier day. A punch of colder air will settle in for next week.

Any stronger storms will remain south of the area in the warmer temperatures but some heavy showers will be possible into Saturday evening.

Rain chances will be higher in the morning and drop back some in the late morning and early afternoon. As the cold front passes through in the evening, rain chances will increase again before dropping back off by late tonight.

The current system want do much for our drought situation as only about a quarter inch of rain is expected to a trace in some areas. This want do much in the current setup. Sunshine will be with us the start of next week but we’ll return to a dry but colder weather pattern. Tuesday morning looks to be our coldest day as we’ll start of in the upper teens and lower 20’s over west Tennessee and highs will only reach the mid 40’s Tuesday afternoon. A gradual warmup into the end of next week but staying mostly dry weather as it looks now.

SEVERE WEATHER?

While there will be some storms associated with the next system, most of the storms will be south of the area all together as it looks now. Temperature profiles will be much cooler than what we saw the past weekend and dynamics are not nearly as high. Therefore, we are not expecting any severe weather with this system and most of the energy with the system will dive south of the west Tennessee area. Storms will be likely along southern portions of Mississippi and Alabama where the warmer temperatures will be this weekend.

Long Range Trends:

The current long range forecast trends are for drier than normal weather and warmer than normal weather.

Final Thought: A slight shift in the current system ahead could bring more rain amounts to west Tennessee and although the past weekend was actively severe, we have dodged long periods of extreme cold, Winter weather events, and large amounts of flooding rains. It looks like for now we are not expecting any major extreme events for several days but that could all change at the end of December and January! Stay with WBBJ 7 online and on-air for the latest as we get closer towards the holidays and into the week ahead. We’ll continue to update as we move along.

Brian Davis