Showers & Weak Storms to Continue Overnight into Wednesday Morning

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update

May 14, 2024

Joel Barnes,

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:

Some scattered weak storms and rain showers will linger tonight across West Tennessee. Severe weather or strong storms are not in the forecast. We should be dry after the sun rises on Wednesday, but northwest winds will keep the temperature down. Warmer weather will return on Thursday. Some showers and storms will look to return late in the work week and we will have the latest forecast, including a look into your weekend, coming up here.

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Water levels are running high across West Tennessee but only partially due to the rain we have seen over the last week. Upstream dams on Tennessee and Mississippi Rivers have been opened and the water levels will stay high this week. According to the TRV they are moving a large amount of water across the main stem of the Tennessee River. TVA is spilling water at all 9 dams on the Tennessee River to move as much water as they can as quickly as possible to reduce future flooding potential later this month.

TONIGHT:

Rain showers and thunderstorms popped up again on Tuesday and should decrease in coverage and intensity this evening before clearing out overnight. After a cloudy day, we are likely going to be under the clouds all night long into Wednesday morning. The cloudy skies and rain showers kept high temperatures down during the afternoon. Highs only reached the mid to upper 70s and will fall down to the low 60s tonight. The winds are forecast to be light tonight and continue to come out of the southwest. Rain chances are 40% on Tuesday night after the sun goes down.

WEDNESDAY:

The early week system should clear out for our Wednesday and that late week system is not expected to impact our weather until late in the day on Thursday. So we will be in a transition period here in West Tennessee. Skies will try to clear out into the afternoon making for a mostly sunny evening. The winds are forecast to come out of the northwest keeping high temperatures in check in the upper 70s again. Wednesday night lows will fall down to around 60°. Rain chances are below 10% on Wednesday.

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THURSDAY:

Thursday is going to start out mostly sunny but clouds will build back in late in the day. Showers and storms will be possible as well during the back half of the day with chances increasing overnight into Friday morning. The winds on Thursday will transition back to the southwest allowing us to warm back up into the low to mid 80s. The humidity will also climb some on Thursday setting the stage for some storms to return Thursday night. Chances for rain on Thursday is 40% as of now.

FRIDAY:

Like Tuesday earlier this week, showers and storms are expected to impact almost all of our viewing area. Friday is also going to be a mostly cloudy day but skies will try to clear out late Friday night into the upcoming weekend. As of now, the severe weather threat appears to be low but we will be watching the late week system closely as the week progresses. The winds on Friday will come out of the south but the clouds and showers will only allow highs to reach the upper 70s. If we get the skies to clear, some 80s will be possible. Friday night lows will fall down to the low 60s again. Rain chances on Friday currently sit at 60%.

THE WEEKEND:

Forecast models are sending out some mixed messages this weekend but most are suggesting a quiet and mild weekend for West Tennessee. We will likely see more sun than clouds but that could change as the forecast becomes more clear. Highs this weekend will make it back into the low to mid 80s with overnight lows falling to the mid 60s. A low pressure system may pass to the south and some of the outer back could bring a few showers on Sunday, but we are not confident in that scenario playing out as of now. The wind direction this weekend will come out of the west for the most part and be light.

FINAL THOUGHT:

We have seen close to normal amounts of rainfall so far this spring in West Tennessee after a wet start to the year according to the rain gauge out of the Jackson airport. More rain is in the forecast this week and could come in two rounds as two different systems look to impact our weather this week. Highs will be close to normal and so will our overnight lows. Severe weather cannot be ruled out but overall the threat looks pretty low for us this week. We will be watching storm trends though as well as tracking everything on the radar this week as it moves through.