Storm Chances Back Late Thursday and All Day Friday!

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update

May 15, 2024

Joel Barnes,

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:

The clouds are going to break up later tonight making for a pleasant evening in West Tennessee. but showers and storm chances will return northwest of Madison county Thursday evening. All of West Tennessee will see a round of showers and storms moving through on Friday. Sections of our viewing area are under a marginal (1/5) risk of severe storms each day to wrap up the work week. Catch the full forecast details right here.

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Water levels are running high across West Tennessee but only partially due to the rain we have seen over the last week. Upstream dams on Tennessee and Mississippi Rivers have been opened and the water levels will stay high this week. According to the TRV they are moving a large amount of water across the main stem of the Tennessee River. TVA is spilling water at all 9 dams on the Tennessee River to move as much water as they can as quickly as possible to reduce future flooding potential later this month.

TONIGHT:

The early week system kept the clouds around for the start to our Wednesday and the next system is not expected to impact our weather until late in the evening on Thursday. So we will be in a transition period here in West Tennessee. Skies will try to clear out this evening and will continue to break up overnight. The winds came out of the northwest keeping high temperatures in check in the upper 70s for most of us today. Wednesday night lows will fall down to around 60°. Rain chances are not in the forecast tonight or for the first half of the day on Thursday.

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THURSDAY:

Thursday is going to start out mostly sunny but clouds will build back in late in the day. Showers and storms will be possible as well during the late evening with chances increasing overnight into Friday morning. The winds on Thursday will transition back to the southwest allowing us to warm back up into the low to mid 80s. The humidity will also climb some on Thursday setting the stage for some storms to return Thursday night. Chances for rain late Thursday is at 40% as of now.

FRIDAY:

Like Tuesday earlier this week, showers and storms are expected to impact almost all of our viewing area. Friday is also going to be a mostly cloudy day but skies will try to clear out late Friday night into the upcoming weekend. As of now, the severe weather threat appears to be low but we will be watching the late week system closely as the week progresses.

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The winds on Friday will come out of the south but the clouds and showers will only allow highs to reach the upper 70s. If we get the skies to clear, some 80s will be possible. Friday night lows will fall down to the low 60s again. Rain chances on Friday currently sit at 60%.

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THE WEEKEND:

Forecast models are sending out some mixed messages this weekend but most are suggesting a quiet and mild weekend for the most part in West Tennessee. We will likely see more clouds than sun on Saturday but that could change as the forecast becomes more clear. Highs this weekend will make it back into the low to mid 80s with overnight lows falling to the mid 60s. A low pressure system may linger on Saturday keeping some showers around for the first half of the day, but we are not expecting severe weather or the showers to continue into the afternoon/evening on Saturday. The wind direction this weekend will come out of the west for the most part and be light. Sunday is looking like a really nice day if you have plans this weekend, Sunday looks better.

NEXT WEEK:

We have a shot to hit 90° for the first time in 2024 next week. Highs will be flirting with the 90° mark for both Monday and Tuesday. We are expecting mostly sunny skies to kick off the week as well. Clouds will be moving back in late Tuesday and some shower and storm chances will return as well Tuesday night into the day on Wednesday. Some storms look likely in the middle of the week with some potential for severe weather. The winds will come out of the southwest to start the weak before transitioning back to the west or northwest on Wednesday and Thursday. Morning lows will hang in the mid 60s to low 70s for the first half of next week.

FINAL THOUGHT:

We have seen close to normal amounts of rainfall so far this spring in West Tennessee after a wet start to the year according to the rain gauge out of the Jackson airport. More rain is in the forecast this week and could come in two rounds as two different systems look to impact our weather this week. Highs will be close to normal and so will our overnight lows. Severe weather cannot be ruled out Thursday night into the day on Friday, but overall, the threat appears to be low for most of us. We will be watching storm trends though as well as tracking everything on the radar this week as it moves through.