A Rainy Election Evening Followed By More Storms Tomorrow

Tuesday PM Update

November 5, 2024

Brian Davis,

Weather Update: Monday, November 5–

Severe weather has been breaking out over the eastern Plains into the 4 Corners area off to our west yesterday. Showers and storms have weakened today as they moved our way along the cold front and will continue there overnight, lasting into Wednesday as well. A lower severe weather threat exists for most of west Tennessee this evening as a few storms may become strong or severe heading later into tonight. The stronger storms look to be well past the closing of the election polls on from 9 pm onward.

WINDY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO ELECTION EVE:

In the meantime, the system occurring off to our west is the result of a strong mid level wind system along a deepening low pressure system. To our northwest is a strong area of high pressure which has helped to hold the rain just off to our west until today. The transfer of winds from the high to the low pressure area has resulted in a strong pressure gradient and gusty winds up to 41 mph at times as the result. Winds will continue overnight into this evening but want be quite what they were yesterday.

RAIN HEADS INTO WEST TENNESSEE ELECTION DAY:

In addition to windy conditions again today, rain will slowly start to approach west Tennessee into the late morning Tuesday with most of the rain holding off until the afternoon with exceptions to the counties along the Mississippi River. Rain and a few storms will push near I-40 by around 3 PM and continue further east into the evening with rounds of showers and storms lasting all night and into Wednesday.

The system should weaken some as it heads our way but there will be a few storms and heavy pockets of rain in the mix by late late this afternoon and evening. And the rain will last through the evening with rounds of showers and storms from the evening and overnight. More rounds of storms Wednesday morning with showers and storms continuing into the afternoon Wednesday before tapering back some for late Thursday and Friday.

Storms will be more concentrated later tonight from around 9 pm onward into midnight and some rumbles of thunder can also be expected into the early morning hours as well.

ELECTION DAY FORECAST:

Most of the heavy rain will hold off until late afternoon and starts to push through with heavier pockets of rain after 5 pm.

LATE WEEK AND WEEKEND

Rain will move out by Thursday morning and most of Thursday and Friday look dry with highs in the lower 70s. Rain will return again by Friday night and be off and on into Saturday and Sunday. Rain should taper off just in time for Veterans Day on Monday. We will continue to add up in rain totals this week with around an inch of rain possible tonight and up to 2 to 3 inches by Sunday morning.

TOPICS

We are also watching the latest with Rafael which is expected to become a hurricane and move northwest into the Gulf.

People heading to the Gulf Coast should pay close attention to the latest as we move towards the end of the week. At this time it looks like a landfall could be taking place along the coast sometime around late Friday or into Saturday.