A Stalled Front Will Bring Rain Chances This Weekend

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update

Starting out with abundant sunshine this morning but a return to cloudy skies by afternoon. The front that moved through yesterday has stalled just to our south and a couple of low pressure system or disturbances will move along the front just to our south over the weekend. Most of the rain will be south of us but a few showers will likely push into west Tennessee later tonight and could linger into parts of Sunday.

Did you have any trouble breathing yesterday? Did you just wash your car and wonder why it was covered it dust? Well it wasn’t from anything local. It was from dust storms in Texas earlier this week. That dust was brought into the Mid South from southwest winds and dropped from the light showers we had earlier today. That dust was lifted all the way up into the Jetstream from the storms in West Texas before falling down here. Kind of like the same thing that happens from forest fires or the Saharan dust that sometimes makes it all the way to our region as well.

A cold front will pass by tonight that will cool us back down into the 50s for highs this weekend. The front will move south of us Saturday before being pushed back up to the north and turning up stationary Saturday into the day on Sunday. This stalled out front will bring some rain showers from Saturday night into the day on Sunday. Most of the rain will stay south of Jackson with some areas near the Mississippi border seeing as much as 1/2″ this weekend. Next week is going to start our really nice but there are a couple chances for storms next week including a severe weather threat the following weekend. Catch the latest coming up right here

THIS WEEK:

Rain showers will mainly be along and south of I-40 for Saturday night with lows in the 40s. The further south you live, the better the rain chances tonight.

THE WEEKEND:

The weekend will be a little cool across West Tennessee with highs in the mid 50s on Saturday before warming back up to around 60° on Sunday. There will be a few shower chances late in the day on Saturday and depending how far south the cold front gets before it stalls out will determine how long those showers will be sticking around for during the day on Sunday. Right now, we are expecting a mostly dry day on Saturday, but if showers do pop up, they will likely stay in our southern counties and show up after the sun goes down. There is a better chance for the rain to linger early in the day on Sunday. Saturday night lows will fall down to the low 40s and Sunday night lows will drop all the way down to the mid 30s again if they skies clear out into Monday morning. Most of the weekend the winds will come out of the north, but sometime late Sunday night the winds will turn up calm and then shift back to the southwest making for a warm start to next week as well!

Next week will warm up nicely reaching up to around 70° on Monday. The winds will come out of the west on Monday but back to the southwest on Tuesday and Wednesday warming us back up to the mid 70s. The week will start out sunny but clouds will move back in slowly late in the day on Wednesday. The next chance for showers and storms will be here on Wednesday night into the day on Thursday, but as of now, the severe weather threat appears to be low but it is something we will need to monitor over the weekend as the forecast becomes more clear.

There appears to be a much greater concern for severe weather coming the following weekend. Saturday evening/night looks to be a time frame we are going to have to watch very closely for severe storm development. We are still 8 days out so a lot can change as far as timing and the locations under the most concerning threat. That being said, the overall pattern set up looks quite concerning and there will be severe weather next weekend, but will it be here in West Tennessee is the main question as of now!

We are in the more active time of year concerning severe weather and large temperature swings. Stay with WBBJ 7 Eyewitness News for the latest on the potential for severe weather coming up next weekend.

Brian Davis
Storm Team 7 Meteorologist

Twitter – @Brian7wbbj
Facebook – Briandaviswbbj
Email – Badavis@wbbjtv.com