Quiet Start to the Week, Next Severe Storm Threat Coming this Weekend!
WBBJ 7 Forecast Update
WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:
After a few storms on Sunday, the weather turned out to be quite nice for our Monday. Highs made it up to around 70° and we should reach the mid 70s on Tuesday. A weak front is going to drift through late Tuesday but it looks like a dry front. The next chance for severe weather appears to be coming our way for the weekend unfortunately and we will tell you all about it here.

If you were curious if last Friday morning was our last freeze of the season, it looks possible. but not likely as of now. We usually see our last freeze during the first week of April and our last front during the second week of April. The earliest last freeze of record for Spring was set back in 2017 on March 16th, so it is possible that was our last freeze, just cannot give a definitive answer yet since we still have two weeks until our average last freeze. There does not appear to be a freeze coming though this week.

THIS WEEK:
After a few storms on Sunday, it appears a dry pattern will return for the rest of the work week. The next chance for rain and showers will be showing back up this weekend. There appears to be a threat for severe weather on Sunday as well. After dropping into the mid 20s Friday morning, a warm up came this weekend but we were a little cooler on Monday before Sunday night’s cold front.

We saw mostly sunny skies and a high around 70° for our Monday in West Tennessee. The winds have been light and had a westerly component to them all day. The winds will shift and come out of the southwest and be light tonight between 5-10 mph. Some clouds will move on in as well due to a low pressure system and stationary front sitting just south of us. That front will pass through Tuesday evening. Lows tonight will drop down to around 50° but we should hit the mid 70s on Tuesday before the front passes. The winds will be a bit breezy on Tuesday due to the front dropping in from the north.

As the front moves in late Tuesday, the winds will shift back to the northwest cooling us back down a little bit. Wednesday morning lows will reach the mid 40s and highs on Wednesday will only reach the low 70s at best. We will see sunny skies though for the most part on Wednesday and Wednesday night lows will again be a bit cool falling down into the mid 40s again.

The winds on Thursday will return back to the south as the stationary front will be lifted back to the north of us. This will allow temperatures to reach the mid 70s again. We will see a few clouds on Thursday but overall we are looking at mostly sunny skies. Thursday night will be warmer due to the southerly winds and lows will drop down to the mid 50s to kick off our Friday.
Friday looks like a warm and humid day with highs reaching the upper 70s to near 80°. We will see partly cloudy skies and some showers will be close to the Mississippi River on Friday but should stay out of West Tennessee. The winds will be a bit breezy and come out of the south on Friday. Friday night lows will be warm due to the high humidity and only fall as low as the low 60s.
THE WEEKEND:
Rain chances and thunderstorms will return again for the weekend in West Tennessee. The main threat for severe storms will be on Sunday but there could be some rain showers and storm activity late in the day on Saturday as well. Highs on Saturday will reach the low to mid 70s depending on the thickness of the clouds and the timing of the rain showers. Saturday night will be quite warm with lows falling to the mid 60s to kick off our Sunday.

It is going to be a warm and humid weekend and that will set the stage for our next chance for severe weather on Sunday. As of now, the Storm Prediction Center has put all of West Tennessee under a 15% chance for severe weather. Expect that number to climb to 30% by Wednesday. We will likely be under at least a level 2 and most likely a level 3 before the system gets here. This set-up is similar to the one that brought all the tornadoes to Missouri 2 weeks ago; so we need to monitor this situation closely as the week progresses. Highs on Sunday will make it up to around 80° and we will be cooler as we kick off the following week.

Storm Team Chief Meteorologist
Joel Barnes
Facebook: @JoelBarnesWeather
Twitter: @JoelBarnes13
Instagram: @joelbarnes13