Nice Start to the Week, Severe Threat Coming Thursday/Friday
WBBJ 7 Forecast Update
WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:
It has been a nice start to the first full week of 2026 and will remain nice for a few more days. A weak front is going to pass by and stall out on Tuesday but it is NOT going to bring much in the precipitation department. It looks like a mostly dry front and will only drop temperatures a few degrees from Tuesday to Wednesday. A more potent storm system is going to move through later in the week and will bring thunderstorms and a threat for severe weather with it late Thursday and again on Friday. This appears to be our greatest threat for severe storms in several weeks. Behind the late week front, a return to winter-like temperatures is also expected this weekend. Catch the latest coming up here.
THIS WEEK:
After a few showers this weekend we started out with a dry day for Monday in West Tennessee. Two storm systems are on the way this week. The first system coming in on Tuesday looks weak but the one coming in later this week on Thursday and Friday will not be weak. The first front looks dry but the second one will not only bring heavy rain showers, but likely some strong and possibly severe storms with it. On top of the storm threat, much cooler weather will move in behind the front as we head into the upcoming weekend.
Highs reached the low to mid 60s for most of West Tennessee today and the above average temperatures will continue most of the week including tonight. A light breeze out of the south and an increase in clouds should keep our overnight temperatures around 50°. Temperatures may even warm up a bit between midnight and 7am as the winds will kick up some out of the south overnight.
A weak front is on the way on Tuesday but it looks to just bring some clouds and a couple hours of some breezy winds with it. Although a few sprinkles cannot be ruled out, we are not expecting any rain from the system and front. Highs will still reach the mid to upper 60s on Tuesday before the front moves through late in the day. Expect a partly to mostly cloudy day and the winds will come out of the southwest and briefly transition to the west or northwest Tuesday night. Tuesday night lows will fall down to mid 40s.
It will be a little cool to start our Wednesday and there will be a mix of sun and clouds during the day. The front passing on Tuesday will move out quickly as another area of high pressure should move in by the back half of the day. We will be a few degrees cooler on Wednesday but highs should still reach the low to mid 60s by Wednesday afternoon. The winds will shift back to the southwest later in the day and that will keep Wednesday night lows above average, dropping down to around 50°.
The first chance for showers and storms this week is coming in on Thursday. We could see a few showers or weak storms early in the day but there could be some severe weather concerns late in the day as the storm system approaches from the west. Thursday is also going to be a breezy to windy day with southerly wind increases as the day goes on. Those southerly winds will warm us up to around 70° near record highs helping to fuel the late evening/night storm threat. The high dew point will keep Thursday night warm with Friday morning lows starting out in the low 60s.
Friday is going to feel ominous with the high humidity during the day. The morning temperatures will stay in the low 60s and we will warm up near 70° before the afternoon and evening storms start to move in. Friday is also going to be a bit breezy with the winds coming in out of the southwest. Most of the ingredients to produce severe weather appear to be on the way on Friday and the Storm Prediction Center has already put out a 15% storm risk for the Mid South on Friday. The storms could linger into Friday night before clearing out by Saturday morning.
THE WEEKEND:
Behind the late week storm system and cold front, winter-like temperatures will be returning for the weekend. Highs on Saturday will only reach the low to mid 50s and Sunday highs will only reach the mid 40s. There will be some clouds sticking around for the first half of the day on Saturday before clearing out Saturday night allowing Sunday morning lows to fall back down to around freezing in the low 30s. any showers from Friday night should clear out by Saturday morning.
Sunday night will be even colder with Monday morning lows forecast to fall down into the mid 20s. The winds will be a bit breezy on Saturday and come out of the west-northwest. The winds will have more of a northerly component to them on Sunday. Expect the clouds on Saturday to break up later in the day. We should see plenty of sunshine on Sunday but it will be brisk as well with the light northwest breeze. Monday highs will make it up to around 50° to kick off next week.
Storm Team Chief Meteorologist
Joel Barnes
Facebook: @JoelBarnesWeather
Twitter: @JoelBarnes13
Instagram: @joelbarnes13
