Severe Storm Threat on Saturday, Cooler Weather Coming for the New Year!

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update

December 27, 2024

Joel Barnes,

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:

We will be dry tonight and Saturday morning if you are planning on traveling. Travel will become difficult Saturday afternoon and especially Saturday evening as we are expecting heavy rain showers and thunderstorms to move through West Tennessee. A couple intense or severe storms as well as a solid inch of rain looks possible as a low pressure system will move right through the Mid South. Drier and cooler weather will look to move back in to kick off the new year and we will have the latest details coming up here.

THIS WEEK:

Thunderstorms and heavy rain showers will be returned Thursday night and brought a few weak storms but a solid 1/2″ to 1″ of rain. The storms stayed below severe criteria but we will be watching them closely on Saturday. The rain will moved out in the morning and will not be coming back until after 2pm on Saturday.

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Highs on Friday still reached the mid 60s and starting the day in the low 50s. The system came up from the south so that is why we didn’t see a drop in temperatures as it slide through in the morning. Friday night lows will only fall to the mid 50s as gusty southerly winds up under a warm front will keep things warm and humid. But that warm and unstable atmosphere will fuel another round of storms on Saturday across the Mid South. We didn’t much of the sun on Friday but it will look to return in the middle of next week and possible for a few hours on Sunday.

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THE WEEKEND:

The storm system that will produce the rain and storms Friday morning will lift straight to the north and another low pressure system and warm front connecting to the first system will move through late Saturday as well. Under that warm front, a humid and unstable set up will allow another round of heavy rain and storms to develop with it. We are currently under a marginal risk (1/5) in West Tennessee but we could be upgraded to a slight risk (2/5) before the event. Areas to our south in Mississippi and Alabama are already under an enhanced (3/5) risk for Saturday’s event. If you have travel plans to the south this weekend, you need to be cautious on Saturday and travel early in the morning or late at night to avoid the potentially dangerous weather. The system should move out by sunrise Sunday morning.

Like the system back on Friday, this one is also coming up from the south. Temperatures will not drop off much at all on Sunday and we should still hit the low 60s. Highs on Saturday will reach the mid 60s which is warm enough for severe weather this time of the year. Saturday night lows will drop down to around 50° and Sunday night lows will fall into the mid 40s if the skies clear out a bit. The winds are forecast to come out of the southeast on Saturday but turn to the west on Sunday as the system clears out. Saturday will be cloudy but we could see the sun peak out during the afternoon on Sunday.

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NEXT WEEK:

The next actual cold front to impact West Tennessee is coming by Monday night or Tuesday morning. That system looks mostly dry but a quick light shower could move through Monday night or early in the day on Tuesday. Highs on Monday will reach the mid 60s, but fall to the mid 50s on Tuesday and Mid 40s for New Year’s Day. New Year’s Eve night will drop to the mid 30s but upper 20s look likely Thursday morning. We will see some clouds on Monday but mostly sunny skies will look to return to kick off the new year. The winds will come out of the southeast on Monday, the west on Tuesday and northwest for Wednesday and Thursday. Next week looks mostly dry, but cold as of now!