Sun/Cloud Mix Today. Isolated Storms Possible

March 13, 2025

Moe Shamell,

Thursday, March 13 8:00 AM CDT Update —

Good Morning West Tennessee For most of the region, it will be a mild day with temps climbing through the 60s and mid 70s with a good mix of sun and clouds. There will be a compact closed upper low drifting east along Us Highway 64 through early this afternoon. That pocket of very cold air aloft, growing instability and lapse rate may be enough to develop a few isolated storms or cluster of storms. Expect, brief heavy rain, thunder and lightning, some may be capable of quite a bit of small pea-dime sized hail today, enough to cover the ground. Again this will likely be very isolated/hyper local through early this afternoon.

As for Friday Night:
Latest from the Storm Prediction Center:

Spcdy2 There is an Enhanced (3/5 ) to Moderate (4/5) threat of severe storms late Friday well after sunset, possibly after midnight Friday night into Saturday. The primary wave appears to move from Se Missouri ENE towards the Mid-Mississippi River Valley with a arc of supercells pushing rapidly towards a line between Quincy, IL–>St. Louis–> Paducah. There is a chance this energy will be capable of popping a couple rogue supercells that may move across NW Tennessee. Those cells will have a volatile and very energetic environment capable of producing very large hail, damaging wind in excess of 75 mph and perhaps a few tornadoes, of which could be EF2 or stronger. The line is forecast to weaken considerably by daybreak. However there is still the likelihood new storms develop along this decaying boundary by mid-late morning Saturday Morning. A cluster of supercells may erupt and rapidly increase in areal coverage and intensity before finally advancing east of the Tennessee River mid-afternoon Saturday…

Storm Team Meteorologist
Moe Shamell
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