Showers And A Few Storms Saturday, Severe Weather Late Sunday

WBBJ 7 Forecast Update:

A few showers and scattered storms will be around for our Saturday, but the ingredients by far for severe weather arrive tomorrow evening. Currently, We are in an enhanced risk for severe weather ahead for Sunday evening.

THE WEEKEND:

Rain chances and thunderstorms will return again for the weekend in West Tennessee. The main threat for severe storms will be on Sunday but there could be some rain showers and storm activity late in the day on Saturday as well.

Saturday looks to be mainly showers in the morning hours and a few weak storms could mix in towards the afternoon, however, there are many lacking ingredients needed for a severe event on Saturday. A couple of stronger storms could get going near the Mississippi in the mid afternoon hours but should fall apart quickly.

Highs on Saturday will reach the low 70s depending on the thickness of the clouds and the timing of the rain showers. Saturday night will be quite warm with lows falling to the mid 60s to kick off our Sunday.

It is going to be a warm and humid weekend and that will set the stage for our next chance for severe weather on Sunday. As of now, the Storm Prediction Center has put all of West Tennessee under enhanced risk (3/5)  for severe weather. There is a chance some of our area gets put under a level 4 (moderate risk), but that has yet to be determined.

Several Ingredients needed for severe weather will be quite high into the evening of Sunday and that of big concern.

This set-up is somewhat similar to the one that brought all the tornadoes to Missouri 2 weeks ago; so we need to monitor this situation closely as the week progresses. Highs on Sunday will make it up to around 80° and we will be cooler as we kick off the following week. Some of the rain showers will linger into the morning hours on Monday. More storms are expected in the middle of next week and some of them will likely be strong or severe as well. A few early storms could break through the cap in the late afternoon but at this time it still looks like the evening and night hours will be the most active.

NEXT WEEK:

We will be dry by the time the sun comes up on Monday and stay that way through Wednesday afternoon. Monday will be a little cooler with highs only reaching up to around 60°. Clouds will decrease throughout the day on Monday and we are expecting mostly sunny and dry conditions on Tuesday. Tuesday highs will make it up to around 70° and we will be close to 80° again on Wednesday. The next chance for rain and storms will be here on Wednesday.

Significant rainfall appears to be on the way from Wednesday evening into Saturday morning. There will be multiple rounds of heavy rain with chances for severe weather mixed in. The set up will bring a stalled front with 3 low pressures system riding it and moving through the region. Where the front stalls out, there will be a chance for over 10″ of rain with most of West Tennessee seeing at least 3″. The general forecast across our area calls for 6-10″ of rain from Wednesday through Saturday. These could lead to significant flooding across the region.

Brian Davis
WBBJ Storm Team Meteorologist

Twitter – @Brian7wbbj
Facebook – Briandaviswbbj
Email – Badavis@wbbjtv.com