Severe Weather Incoming Thursday, High Risk Upgrade Expected

Wednesday Night Forecast Update

Wednesday Night Forecast for March 24th:

Our 2nd significant storm threat this season will be here on Thursday. A moderate risk of severe weather (4/5) has already been issued 2 days out for most of West Tennessee.

This storm system is eerily similar to last week’s storm that spawned 20 tornadoes in Alabama. Forecast models have this system tracking a little further north then last weeks.

This could increase the tornado threat this go around for us. The timing of the most likely tornado threat appears to be between 2-7 p.m. for our area.

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjt wbbjtv.com SEVERE WEATHER RISK THURSDAY Poplar Bluif Fh Memphis LittleRock Nashville Knoxville Huntsville Dallas Greenville Shreveport Birmingham Atlanta Jackson Montgomery Houston Mobile NewOrleans Tallahassee'

Strong storms are also likely to move into West Tennessee early Thursday morning. Some could be severe, but the most concerning threat for Tornadoes, Large Hail and Extreme Winds will be in the afternoon.

Portions of West Tennessee are expected to be upgraded to a HIGH risk tomorrow. We will keep monitoring the forecast models as we get them in the Storm Team Weather Center and will bring you the latest details right here.

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com THE NEXT 48 HOURS Thursday 4:30 PM ouis Springfield Lexingtom Jackson Huanoka Little Rock Knoxville Raleigh HUMID Atlanta Birmingham Jackson'

TONIGHT:

Clouds will increase as the night goes on and the winds will begin to pick up after midnight. The humidity will also be increasing and that should keep overnight lows to only dip into the upper 50s.

Storm chances could move into our southern counties by 4 a.m. and spread northward over the following could of hours.

Severe storms cannot be ruled out in the morning, so plan accordingly for your morning commute.

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THURSDAY:

Rain showers and some weaker non-severe storms are expected for the first part of the day, but we should get a break between the late morning and early afternoon.

Expect cloudy to mostly cloudy skies all day. Winds will be breezy at times and come out of the south. Highs should reach the low 70s in the afternoon. Some stronger storms and likely some severe weather will show up Thursday during the afternoon and evening time frame.

The timing, location and strength of these storms is evolving and we hope to have a better idea as the system gets closer. But a moderate risk of severe weather has already been issued by the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center for most of our region.

Here is a look at the timing of the storms betwenn 4-7 p.m. Thursday from the HRRR model run from Wednesday night.

4PM

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com FUTURECAST HRRR MODEL THU 4:00 PM RAIN MIXED SNOW Tiptonville Union City Martin Paris Dyersburg Trenton Ripley Camden Huntingdon Alamo Covington Brownsville Jackson Lexington Parsons Henderson Somerville D Memphis Bolivar Selmer Savannah'

5PM

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com FUTURECAST HRRR MODEL THU 5:00 PM RAIN MIXED Tiptonville Umion SNOW Martin Paris Dyersburg Trenton Ripley Camden Huntingdon Alamo Covington Jackson Brownsville Lexington Parsons Henderson Memphis Somerville Bolivar Selmer Savannah'

6PM

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORMTEAM STORM WEATHER wbbjtv.com FUTURECAST -HRRR MODEL THU 6:00 PM RAIN MIXED Tiptonville Union SNOW Martim Paris Dyersburg Trenton Ripley Huntingdon Camden Alamo Covington Jackson Brownsvillle Lexington Parsons Henderson Memphis Somerville Bolivar Selmer Savannah'

7PM

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com FUTURECAST HRRR MODEL THU 7:00 PM RAIN MIXED SNOW Tiptonville Union City Martiu Paris Dyersburg Trenton Ripley Camden Huntingdon Alamo Covington Jackson Brownsville Lexington Parsons Henderson Memphis Somerville Bolivar Selmer Savannah'

Some locations south of I-40 will possibly be upgraded to a high risk for severe storms, which hasn’t happened in several years for West Tennessee.

This is a significant threat and you need to stay weather aware and watch the forecast closely over the next couple of days.

May be an image of map and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com TORNADO THREAT THURSDAY 5% Uτο Tiplonville Umon y Martiu 5% Paris oyersturey Trenton Camden Huntingdon Alamo Jackson Brownsville Covington Lexington Parsons® Henderson Memphis Somerville Bolivar Selmer Savannah'

Flash flooding could become an issue in some areas south of I-40 as well so we will be keeping a close eye on that situation as well. 2-4 inches of rain will be possible in some areas that are hit with multiple storms on Thursday.

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FRIDAY:

Friday will be a bit cooler behind the cold front and highs will make it into the mid to upper 60s. But we should see plenty of sunshine and the winds are expected to come out of the west. It should be a dry finish to the work week and start to our weekend.

THE WEEKEND:

Showers are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning according to some of the forecast models. We should see plenty of sunshine as well at times this weekend.

Highs will climb into the mid 70s on Saturday, but should be about 10 degrees cooler on Sunday, behind Saturday night’s storm system. Thunderstorms could be possible as the system tracks across West Tennessee, but it is too early to tell or have high confidence in the forecast as of now as far as severe weather concerns.

FINAL THOUGHT:

We are now officially in Spring and starting to get closer to our peak severe weather season. So you need to stay weather aware to changing weather patterns and monitor the forecasts closely. We got you covered in the WBBJ 7 Storm Team Weather Center as always.

For tips on preparing for the storm, click here. To download the WBBJ 7 Weather app, click here.

Storm Team Chief Meteorologist
Joel Barnes
Facebook: @JoelBarnesWeather
Twitter: @JoelBarnes13
Instagram: @joelbarnes13

Categories: Weather, Weather Blog, Weather Forecast
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