First Chance for Snow Returning Saturday Morning, but Don’t Count on it!

Wednesday Night Forecast Update

Wednesday Night Forecast Update for November 9th:

A very challenging Forecast scenario is setting up across West Tennessee on Friday. Some of the outer bands from Tropical Storm Nicole could reach as far west as Jackson Friday morning before the front pushes that system away Friday evening. The front could bring some light snow, flurries, cold rain or a brief wintry mix Saturday morning as well. There are many variables at play as far as… will the cold air move in quick enough Friday night and will there be enough moisture left behind after Nicole moves out to even produce any showers, let alone snow. This forecast likely will change as the set up develops and we will be watching things as they develop in the 7 Storm Team Weather Center and you should monitor the situation as well. We will have the latest up to the minute details coming up below.

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LATEST ON TROPICAL SYSTEM NICOLE:

Tropical Storm Nicole is expected to bring dangerous storm surge, flooding, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall to Florida, especially those in areas along the eastern coast, when it makes landfall late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm will bring clouds and maybe a few showers to West Tennessee. Shower chances are highest for areas east of Madison County along the Tennessee River. Most of the rain across West Tennessee will fall in the middle and eastern sections of the state.

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TONIGHT:

Clouds will increase tonight across West Tennessee and expect partly cloudy skies in general overnight. . We are expecting calm winds to move in again and the humidity will be a little lower tonight allowing most of us to fall down to around 50°. Lows tonight could drop into the upper 40s for some of us with temperatures being a little cooler north of Jackson and a little warmer south of the Hub City.

THURSDAY:

We might be a few degrees cooler on Thursday with highs sill reaching the low to mid 70s. Mostly sunny skies will linger during the day as the humidity will be a little lower limiting the amount of afternoon clouds that could develop. Clouds will increase Thursday night and some isolated bands of rain from some of the outermost bands of the Tropical system Nicole could drift far enough to the west to impact us.  The best chances for rain will be areas east of Jackson. Thursday night lows will remain mild and fall down to the mid 50s by Friday morning. The winds on Thursday will remain light and out of the southeast for one more day before the next cold front targets the Mid South on Friday bringing brisk northwest winds with it.

FRIDAY:

The timing of the cold front on Friday will determine if highs will fall short of 70° or not even climb out of the 50s. The later in the day the front shows up the warmer temperatures will reach in the afternoon. We are expecting cooler weather to move in Friday night and the front probably will show up in time to impact the Friday night football playoffs across West Tennessee. It is going to be close either way and it is something you should monitor during the week if you plan on attending any games on Friday. We think the front is going to be a mostly dry front and not bring any thunderstorms or heavy rain showers to the region. There is a chance though for some light snow showers or a brief period of cold rain early Saturday morning if enough moisture is still hanging around from the tropical system. Worst case is we get a dusting of light snow but some flurries seem more likely if we see anything showers at all from the front. Friday night lows will drop down to the low 30s.

May be an image of text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.c CHALLENGING FORECAST Tropical Storm & Cold Front Coming Together Friday A tropical storm system and cold front will both head for West Tennessee on Friday impacting our weather! There are many variables at play as far as snow chances.. 1st, will the cold air move in quick enough Friday night 2nd, will there be enough moisture left behind after Nicole moves out to even produce any showers at all.'

 

THE WEEKEND:

There is a chance for some light snow showers, flurries, brief wintry mix or cold rain between midnight and Saturday mid morning, but we are not expecting much. We will keep an close eye though on the forecast as the system gets a little closer. The weekend is going bring in possibly the coldest weather we have seen so far this fall. Lows will drop below freezing for both Saturday and Sunday nights and some upper teens or low 20s cannot be ruled out as of now.

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com STORM TEAM 7 WEATHER FUTURECAST SAT 5:00 AM RAIN IXED SNOW Union City 35° 34° Martin 35° Paris 35° Dyersburg 35° Trenton 36° SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WILL DRIFT THROUGH WEST TENNESSEE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING & THE TEMPERATURE WILL PLAY THE MAIN FACTOR ON IF ANY OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE SNOW OR A POSSIBLE WINTRY MIX AS THEY PASS. Camden 36° Ripley 36° Huntingdon 36° Alamo 37° Brownsville 37° Covington 37° Jackson 370 Lexington 37° Parsons 37 Henderson 37° Memphis 38° Somerville 37° Bolivar 37° Selmer 37° Savannah 37°'

 

The current forecast has lows dropping into the mid 20s both nights this weekend in Jackson. The high temperatures will not be any better and only reaching the mid to maybe upper 40s for both days. We should see mostly sunny skies by Saturday afternoon but a northwest breeze on top of the cold weather will make for a very chilly weekend for all of us. Be sure to remember the 4 p’s again this weekend as people, pipes, pets and plants will all be impacted from the weekend cold. Cold weather is expected to continue into the beginning of next week as well.

NEXT WEEK:

Monday will start out cool in the mid to upper 20s, with afternoon highs reaching up to only around 50°. Partly cloudy skies are expected Monday with increasing clouds Monday night. Monday night lows could fall anywhere from the low 30s to low 40s making for a tricky forecast into Tuesday next week. There is a chance at some shower activity next Tuesday which is most likely to fall as a cold rain. But depending on the temperature and timing of the system, some flurries or a wintry mix could try to show up as well.  A lot of factors will have to line up for that to happen, but it is possible. Highs on Tuesday will only reach the upper 40s and will be back down near freezing again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

FINAL THOUGHT:

All of West Tennessee saw our first frost and freeze earlier in October and another cold spell is on the way this weekend. This weekend will bring our first snow chance of the season but right now we are not expecting much if anything at all; but it is something we are watching very closely and again into early next week. On top of the colder weather, we sometimes see storms develop in November and we could see more storms again later in the month. There also appears to be another hurricane developing later this weekend east of Florida that may try to move into the Gulf of Mexico as well so we are watching that closely too. You need to stay weather aware to changing weather patterns and monitor the forecasts closely. We got you covered in the WBBJ 7 Storm Team Weather Center as always.

For tips on preparing for the storms, click here. To download the WBBJ 7 Weather app, click here.

Storm Team Chief Meteorologist
Joel Barnes
Facebook: @JoelBarnesWeather
Twitter: @JoelBarnes13
Instagram: @joelbarnes13

Categories: Weather, Weather Blog, Weather Forecast