Storm Threat Tonight, More Significant Threat Wednesday Evening

Monday Night Forecast Update

Monday Night Forecast Update for April 11th:

Supercell storms continue to rotate in Arkansas where a dangerous tornado touched down last hour near the Air Force Base north of Little Rock. These storms should weaken some as they move into West Tennessee, but a severe storm or even a tornado cannot be ruled out tonight. The severe storm threat will linger until early Thursday morning this week with Wednesday evening being the biggest threat for us. We will have more details and the rest of your severe weather threat and week’s forecast coming up right here.

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TONIGHT:

After a round of afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms, the threat will continue later tonight as another round of showers and possible strong storms will move through. It will remain warm, cloudy and humid tonight with lows dropping down into the low 60s. The winds will stay breezy as well and come out of the south. We are under a slight risk (2/5) for severe storm with gusty winds being the main threat, although some small hail or even a tornado cannot be ruled out.

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TUESDAY:

The showers and storm chances will come in two waves on Tuesday. The first shot will be early in the morning and clear out by the afternoon. Most of the day we will be dry, cloudy and breezy before another round of storm chances returns Tuesday night. Highs on Tuesday will make it up near 80° and the winds will be between 15-20 MPH out of the south. Tuesday night lows will fall down into the low to mid 60s. The severe threat on Tuesday is only a marginal risk (1/5).

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WEDNESDAY:

Our greatest threat for severe weather this week will be coming on Wednesday.  The Storm Prediction Center has already put all of West Tennessee under an enhanced risk (3/5).  Strong straight line winds, large hail and tornadoes all appear possible in the late evening hours.

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Like Tuesday, the storm chances will come in two rounds with the evening threat being the one we are most concerned about. Some storms though will linger overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning as well. We will get a break for most of the day before the main event shows up late in the evening.

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Highs on Wednesday will again reach the upper 70s. It will remain warm and humid until the cold front passes, which will allow overnight lows to drop into the 40s by Thursday morning.  Showers should move out before the sun comes up on Thursday.

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THURSDAY:

Temperatures will be below normal on Thursday behind Wednesday nights cold front. Highs will make it up into the mid to upper 60s but we should see plenty of the sunshine. The winds will come out of the north behind the front but in general will be quite light. Thursday night lows will fall down into the mid 40s, but lows should stay out of the 30s for all of West Tennessee.

FRIDAY:

Friday looks very similar to Thursday, but we should see in increase in clouds into the afternoon from the southerly winds that will be returning. Highs on Friday will reach the low to mid 70s depending on when the winds change direction. We will be rain free with a southerly breeze around 10 MPH into the afternoon. Friday night lows will fall into the mid 50s and be warmer than the previous nights due to a brief increase in the humidity.

THE WEEKEND:

The weekend forecast looks a bit tricky as of now, but forecast guidance is suggesting more showers and weak storms to move through the area. As of early in the week, the weekend’s setup doesn’t look real likely for severe weather, but rain showers look more likely then not. Skies will be mostly cloudy this weekend and the winds will shift from the northeast on Saturday to more out of the east on Sunday as the low pressure system moves through. Highs will climb up to near 70° on Saturday and fall into the mid 60s on Sunday. Saturday and Sunday night lows will drop down to around 50°. We will hope to have a better idea as to what you can expect this weekend as the week progresses. A system is coming, but what side of it we will be on here in West Tennessee will determine what we will see including our chances for storms or severe weather. Stay will WBBJ TV for more information as the week progresses.

FINAL THOUGHT:

Spring has officially kicked off here in West Tennessee, and another freeze in the next week or two seems highly unlikely. We typically get our last freeze around the beginning of April and I think that was the case this year as well, feel free to start your gardening. There will be more chances for severe weather though as we get deeper into Spring. So you need to stay weather aware to changing weather patterns and monitor the forecasts closely. We got you covered in the WBBJ 7 Storm Team Weather Center as always.

For tips on preparing for the storms, click here. To download the WBBJ 7 Weather app, click here.

Storm Team Chief Meteorologist
Joel Barnes
Facebook: @JoelBarnesWeather
Twitter: @JoelBarnes13
Instagram: @joelbarnes13

Categories: Weather, Weather Blog, Weather Forecast