Mostly Dry Through Friday; Rain, Wintry Mix & Snow Likely this Weekend

Wednesday Night Forecast Update

January 12, 2022

Storm Team Weather,

Wednesday Night Forecast Update for January 12th:

Highs reached the mid 50s today and similar numbers are expected on Thursday. Temperatures will cool some Friday and the winds will switch back to the north. Cold rain showers will turn to a wintry mix on Saturday and then transition to all snow Saturday night into Sunday morning. How quickly the rain will turn over to snow, the track of the system, and how long the system will be hanging around West Tennessee will decide how much snow we get.

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com POSSIBLE WINTER STORM PATH 1 Saturday 10:10 PM AM om EURO MODEL SNOW Sunday 6:00 AM አዋ Umon Tiptonville Martın 2.8" Trenton Dyersburg 5.0" Ripley Paris 3.0" 2.5" Huntingdon Camden Alamo 3.8" 3.3" CovingtonBrownsville 6.3" 5.5" Jackson Lexington 2.5" Parsons Henderson 4.0" 2.5" 0.8" Somerville Bolivar Savannah Selmer 3.8" Memphis HERE IS A LOOK AT ONE OF OUR SHORTER RANGE FORECAST MODELS THROUGH 6AM SUNDAY MORNING. WE ARE EXPECTING ADDITIONAL SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING!'

Often long term forecast models struggle with accuracy and consistency, so meteorologists typically wait until the mid range forecast models start to look at an event before we gain more confidence in our forecasts. Here is a brand new look at one mid range models opinion of snow accumulation through 6 AM Sunday morning. Remember, additional snow showers could linger for another 6-12 hours (adding more to these totals) as we are not expecting the snow to clear out until Sunday evening. We will take a look at more forecast data as it comes in to the Storm Team Weather Center over the next 24 hours and hope to have a total snow forecast from this event for all of West Tennessee soon. We will have the latest details and your full weather forecast coming up right here.

TONIGHT:

Clouds will increase tonight and the winds will stay light out the southwest. The combination of the clouds and breeze should keep temperatures above freezing tonight with most of West Tennessee falling into the mid 30s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY:

A weak front will drift in from the north on Thursday but it is expected to be a dry front for us. The winds will change from the south to the northwest on Thursday and that will cut off temperatures some. Highs on Thursday will reach the low to mid 50s before the front comes by but drop into the upper 40s again on Friday. By Friday afternoon the winds will start to come out of the northeast as high pressure will temporally be moving back in. Lows will drop into the low 30s Thursday night but only fall into the mid to upper 30s Friday night as thick clouds will be moving in for the first half of the weekend. The next system could show up late Friday night and bring some rain showers with it.

THE WEEKEND:

Rain showers in the morning and afternoon will turn to a wintry mix and then snow showers could return by Saturday evening. All snow is expected Saturday night into the day on Sunday. Chances for significant snow accumulations or a big winter storm is possible, but it is also possible the system bring minimal impacts to West Tennessee. We will be keeping an eye on the forecast as the potential winter system gets closer as the week progresses. Stay with WBBJ throughout the week as we fine tune the forecast and build more confidence in what we can expect here in West Tennessee. Forecast models are still working on the timing and strength of the system.

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'Omaha STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com wbbjtv. com Kansas City Cleveland Fort Wayne EURO MODEL SNOW FORECAST Monday 6:00 AM St. Louis Pittsburgh Cincinnati Springtield Charleston Paducah London Nashville Jackson Little Rock Memphis Knoxville Chattanooga Huntsville WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON EURO MODEL DATA SHOWING THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS WEST TN. THIS WEEKEND Atlanta'

Highs this weekend will only make it into the low to low to mid 40s Saturday and Saturday night lows are expected to fall back into the upper 20s again. The system should move out late Sunday with decreasing clouds by Monday morning, but it will get a bit cold Sunday night as well with lows falling back down near 20°. The winds will be a bit breezy on Saturday and weaken Sunday night, but we should have a northwest direction to the winds all weekend long.

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'Omaha STORM TEAM WEATHER wbbjtv.com Kansas City GFS MODEL Monday 6:00 AM Cleveland Fort Wayne SNOW FORECAST St. St.Louis Pittsburgh Cincinnati Springfield Charleston Paducah London Nashville Jackson Little Rock Memphis Knoxville Chattanooga Huntsville WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON GFS MODEL DATA SHOWING THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL FALL NORTH OF WEST TN. THIS WEEKEND Atlanta'

FINAL THOUGHT:

Winter has officially started here in West Tennessee and we currently could see another round of winter precipitation this weekend. There could be more chances for severe weather though too as we get going into 2022 as well. So you need to stay weather aware to changing weather patterns and monitor the forecasts closely. We got you covered in the WBBJ 7 Storm Team Weather Center as always.

For tips on preparing for the storms, click here. To download the WBBJ 7 Weather app, click here.

Storm Team Chief Meteorologist
Joel Barnes
Facebook: @JoelBarnesWeather
Twitter: @JoelBarnes13
Instagram: @joelbarnes13